Volatility vs Hit Rate
intermediate 2 Min. LesezeitAktualisiert 21.6.2026
Why “wins often” and “returns more” are completely different claims.
Why “wins often” and “returns more” are completely different claims.
Hit rate counts winning events
A high hit rate means more results are labeled wins. Those wins can still be smaller than the stake.
Volatility measures spread
High volatility concentrates value in rarer large results. Low volatility distributes value more evenly.
Key takeaways
- Hit rate measures frequency, not size.
- Volatility measures how widely results vary.
- Neither metric replaces RTP or EV.
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